Thomas Wictor

October of 2015 won the wars in Syria and Iraq

October of 2015 won the wars in Syria and Iraq

The Arab League won the Syria and Iraq wars in October of 2015. From that point on, both conflicts would end in only one way: defeat for the Islamic State, al-Qaeda, Bashar al-Assad, Iran, and Hezbollah. It’s very easy to see that this is the case.

June 16, 2015

Kurdish militia called the Peoples’ Protection Units (YPG) capture the Syrian town of Tell Abayd. The majority-Arab population is hostile to what it sees as invaders. For their part, the Kurds exacerbate the ethnic tensions by renaming the town Gire Spi, arresting hundreds of Arabs and forcing them to pledge allegiance to the YPG, and declaring that the town is no longer a part of Raqqa Governorate.

September 6, 2015

The Washington Post reports that the Iraqi offensive to retake Ramadi is going nowhere due to heavy Islamic State fortifications, booby traps, the deaths of two senior Iraqi generals, no coherent plan, and no leadership.

September 21, 2016

According to USA Today, the Ramadi offensive is failing because the Iraqis are unable to create a unified effort. Militias have competing loyalties, and some do not cooperate with the government. Furthermore, the Ministry of the Interior does not work with the Ministry of Defense. Shia militia leaders announce plans to undertake major military operations on their own.

September 29, 2015

Syrian rebel Colonel Hassan Mustafa of Division 30 says that the US trains far too few fighters. Also, the Americans provide the rebels with only small arms, not heavy weapons.

October of 2015

How would the crises above be solved? There’s only one answer: Dedicated professional warriors became involved. I have no doubt that secret negotiations lasted for years. In the Middle East, only Middle Easterners are capable of reaching genuine agreements. Outsiders have too much historical baggage. Also, we all need to admit that western and Middle Eastern cultures are simply too different for us to understand each other.

But Syrians and Iraqis agreed to accept help. Then things began changing.

October 7, 2015

Somebody kills Major General Hossein Hamedani of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force.

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Hamedani is the architect of the entire Iranian war effort in Syria. Due to the centralized nature of the Iranian military, his death dooms Iran’s efforts to failure.

October 7, 2015

The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) 4th Assault Army Corps launches an offensive in northwestern Syria to retake territory that rebels had captured. Russia created this unit in less than a week and supports it with air power. In contradiction to their claims of possessing only small arms, the rebels in fact have hundreds of American BGM-71 TOW antitank guided missiles (ATGMs). They destroy so many SAA armored vehicles that the offensive is dubbed the Tank Massacre.

This is one of many successful deceptions that the “rebels” are able to carry out beginning in October of 2015.

October 7, 2015

The Iraqis regain the initiative in Ramadi, intensifying their efforts to encircle the city. In two weeks, they go from having no plan to having an extremely effective plan. They capture the main road west of Ramadi and use it to bring in forces and supplies. Suddenly everyone is cooperating with each other.

October 11, 2015

A new unit called the Syrian Democratic Forces (QSD) announces its formation. In two weeks, this group of Kurdish, Arab, Turkmen, and Syriac Christian “militia” begins utterly demolishing the Islamic State. Their assault troops are masked.

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They have helicopter gunships that are never seen on camera.

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Their best fighters belong to Jaysh al-Thuwar, which has no outside support yet uses new fuel-air explosives (FAE) that defy the laws of physics.

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Jaysh al-Thuwar wins every battle it fights.

October 13, 2015

Iraqi security forces complete their operation to encircle Ramadi. They take only six days to do it. Previously, they had struggled for over two months.

The US says that American-trained Iraqi ground troops will part in the battle. However, in reality the American effort to train Iraqis is a failure.

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President Obama has hamstrung the program with his compulsive micromanaging.

October 14, 2015

Iraqi security forces and Shia militia launch an offensive to recapture Baiji. They take back the refinery in only two days, despite the installation’s size and complexity, and they sever all the Islamic State supply lines in the region. Then the Iraqis besiege and clear Baiji and all its surrounding villages. By October 22, 2015, the fighting is over.

The Iraqis accomplish in eight days what they were unable to do over the previous eight months.

October 15, 2015

Twelve US Air Force Republic Fairchild A-10 Thunderbolt II “Warthog” close-air support (CAS) attack aircraft land at Incirlik Air Base in Turkey. This despite the fact that the Air Force had said that the A-10 is too slow and vulnerable to be used in the region.

Multiple videos show A-10 Warthogs flying combat sorties in Syria.

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All the aircraft appear to be a dark color, while American A-10s are light gray.

October 19, 2015

US military sources say that they have given the Iraqis the MICLIC mine-clearing system: an M353 3½ ton or M200A1 2½ ton trailer (or M200 tracked trailer) chassis, a launcher assembly, an M147 firing kit, an M58A3 line charge and a 5-inch MK22 Mod 4 rocket.

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It fires a line that lands on the ground and explodes, detonating all the buried mines. This weapon is to be used in Ramadi.

Iraqis are not trained to use the MICLIC. However, other Arab League nations have the device in their inventory.

October 30, 2015

President Obama authorizes the deployment of fifty US Army Special Forces to advise and assist the Syrian Arab Coalition. They stay far behind the front lines and occasionally pose for the cameras.

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While the press dutifully reports that they engage in combat, the Pentagon denies it. The real reason that they’re in Syria is to muddy the waters. Every time someone photographs special operators in Syria, the world assumes that they’re western. The world is wrong.

This soldier in Syria is Jordanian.

November of 2015

The war against the Islamic State and others sped up after October of 2015. Iranian Quds Force chief Major General Qassem Suleimani “received severe head wounds” in Syria on about November 15, 2015.

Qassem_Suleimani_Syria

Since he hasn’t appeared in public in over eight months, it’s clear that he’s dead. The Iranian plan for victory in Syria died with him.

Nobody is interested in how the Syrian Democratic Forces became the best fighters in the country almost overnight, despite the fact that the Kurds don’t have enough volunteers. Furthermore, nobody is interested in the use of unidentified weapons in Syria and Iraq.

The objects below are all over both countries.

I’m the only person on earth who writes about them.

Based on video speed and distance, the missile that hit the truck below traveled at 13,979 miles per hour (22,497 kilometers per hour) or Mach 18.

Again, I alone wrote about it.

Here’s a completely new missile design.

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It’s shaped like this.

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The control surfaces are in the lower leading edge, and the shroud over the engine at the rear reduces air turbulence. That makes the missile more accurate.

Has anybody else noticed it? Of course not. No other “military expert” is intelligent enough to find his own rear end with a GPS guidance system.

I alone have noted that compared to US efforts, the Iraqis retook Ramadi and Fallujah in far less time and did far less damage. What changed in Syria and Iraq was that Iran lost its influence. Iraqis who continue to fight for Iran meet the same fate as Hossein Hamedani and Qassem Suleimani.

Here comes the precision-guided munition, something new.

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It hits right behind the man with the backpack. One bystander (green arrow) watches.

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The bystander continues watching as the man who wore the backpack goes flying past (red arrow).

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Then the backpack blows up, indicating that it was full of explosives.

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When you think about the wars in Syria and Iraq, remember that the Arab League had defeated everybody by October of 2015.


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